中文
Skip to research

AFFLATUS / SIGNAL

The Policy & AI IndexUnderstanding the forces shaping an AI economy

Federal Reserve decisions, U.S. fiscal policy and the path from Washington to the AI industry.

Research since 1 Jan 2026
Explore the research
Bank, computing and energy connected in an editorial illustration

Loading the research collection…

The policy landscape

Where monetary policy, public funding and AI meet.

Follow the Federal Reserve

Published FOMC decisions, with the original documents and verified dates.

Washington’s fiscal & AI agenda

Tax treatment, debt supply and industrial policy change the conditions for investment.

Explore fiscal records →

Explore by industry

Follow the channels from a policy decision to the AI value chain.

Tile counts show tagged records in this collection, not an impact score or forecast.

Explore the records

Start with a topic. Follow the date, the evidence and the next question.

U.S. TREASURY · TRADEWEB

Long-end yield observations

SYNCING YIELD FEED…

Yield: % · Change and spread: basis points (1 bp = 0.01 percentage point). Observation times appear below.

10-YEARUS10Y
—
—
OPEN—DAY RANGE—
30-YEARUS30Y
—
—
OPEN—DAY RANGE—
30Y − 10Y CURVE—

A wider positive spread signals more term-premium pressure at the ultra-long end; it is not, by itself, a recession or inflation forecast.

LAST QUOTE—Tradeweb · CNBC Quote Cache
Inspect observations & units

Observation timestamps unavailable. Yield: %; change and spread: bp. 1 bp = 0.01 percentage point.

Inspect yield response

Updates every 30 seconds while this tab is visible. Market data may be delayed or unavailable; values are monitoring references, not executable prices or investment advice.

Sources & methodology

A transparent record of what we know—and when.

01 / Primary evidence

Federal Reserve and New York Fed releases establish monetary policy. Treasury, IRS, OMB and White House documents establish fiscal and industrial measures. BEA and BLS provide economic context.

02 / Facts and interpretation

A speech expresses its speaker’s view. A proposal still needs enactment. AI transmission notes are conditional editorial analysis, not observed returns or committee forecasts.

03 / Coverage and updates

Reviewed weekly on Monday at 09:00 Australia/Melbourne. The checked date reflects source review; each event retains its publication date.

Research and observations. Not investment advice.